Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, said he's been told it's going to take three or four days for six other Senate committees to clear the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement so that it can go to the floor for a vote. Whether it can come up the week of Jan. 21 will depend on whether the articles of impeachment have arrived by then, he noted.
The Senate Finance Committee has recommended the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement come up for a vote in the Senate as a whole, voting 25-3 Jan. 7 to advance the deal. Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, told reporters that the USMCA implementing bill also has to get buy-in from the Budget, Environment and Commerce committees, though they don't have to hold mark-up hearings, as the Finance Committee did. He predicted that if the articles of impeachment aren't sent over to the Senate yet, “by next week, for sure,” there would be a floor vote, but if the articles arrive, he said, it could be the end of January before a vote.
The Congressional Research Service released a report Jan. 3 on issues and provisions surrounding the state-state dispute settlement mechanism in the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, including explanations of the consultation, panel establishment and resolution process. The report also includes potential considerations for Congress, including whether it should use USMCA's dispute resolution system as a ”template” for future Trade Promotion Authority legislation.
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Dec. 23-27 in case they were missed.
Even though the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement has not finished its ratification path through Canada and the U.S. Senate, industry is already looking to how CBP will make the changes a reality, perhaps as early as May 2020. “This is going to move out of the Beltway political sphere and really get into the practical, everyday pain in the neck, painstaking trade world,” said Dan Ujczo, a partner at Dickinson Wright and a customs and trade lawyer who specializes in North American trade. A CBP official said last month that agency discussions for how to implement some USMCA provisions are underway (see 1911070015).
International Trade Today is providing readers with some of the top stories for Dec.16-20 in case they were missed.
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, said the committee will hold a mock markup of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on Jan. 7. “This markup will move us closer to ratifying USMCA in early 2020,” Grassley said Dec. 20. “Farmers, manufacturers and all American workers will soon be able to benefit from a stronger and modernized trade agreement with Canada and Mexico.”
Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., the strongest free trade advocate in the Senate, said he doesn't know if Republicans will return to their traditional position as pro-free trade. In response to a question from the audience at the American Enterprise Institute Dec. 19, he said it depends on whether President Donald Trump is re-elected in 2020.
The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement passed in the House of Representatives with a vote of 385-41, with all but two Republicans and 193 Democrats voting yes. This was the biggest vote for a free trade deal in the House since the Canada Free Trade agreement in 1988, and many of the top Democrats in the House say it will serve as a template for future trade deals. It was a far more resounding “yes” than the original NAFTA vote of 234-200, when just 102 Democrats voted yes.
The enactment of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement would increase revenues by $230 million a year in 2023 and $360 million a year in 2024, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. CBO projects that “certain imports of motor vehicles and parts” that currently enter the U.S. duty free under NAFTA would not be eligible under the stricter rules of origin in USMCA. It expects that some of those parts or vehicles would be replaced by domestic production, but some would be replaced by imports subject to tariffs, and thus, total customs revenue would rise. While there would be hundreds of millions spent in the first three years, primarily for monitoring environmental and labor compliance in Mexico, by 2024, that spending would be just $21 million, and would be partially offset by lower subsidies to dairy farmers, since CBO assumes they would have higher sales as a result of the deal.