With Enforcement, US Export Controls Will Hamper Russian Military, Think Tank Says

When it runs out of its current equipment, the Russian military will face challenges sourcing critical technologies to upgrade and maintain its military goods, due to U.S. export controls (see 2202240069), the Atlantic Council said in a March 18 post on its website. But much of that could depend on how successfully the U.S. and its allies can enforce the restrictions, the Atlantic Council said, and whether Chinese companies comply with the restrictions or decide to supply chips to Russia and expose themselves to secondary sanctions or similar U.S. export controls (see 2203140009).

The post includes a breakdown of the types of Russian entities subject to U.S. export controls and how the restrictions will affect each sector. The Atlantic Council said the most commonly designated Russian entities operate in the technology, energy, scientific research, shipbuilding and aircraft manufacturing industries. “Beyond the defense sector, export controls might become a key contributor to the degradation of the Russian economy,” the think tank added, “given that they would prevent Russia from obtaining the latest generation technologies.”