US, China Seem Headed Toward Tech Decoupling, S&P Says
Incentives are strong for China and the U.S. to retain the phase one trade deal, an economist at S&P Global wrote May 14, in a report called “U.S. and China Kick Trade Deal Can Down The Road.” While the report's author said it's possible the Trump administration would hike tariffs on China to punish that country for COVID-19, “we have long thought that, from an economic perspective, technology not trade is the core issue in the U.S.-China relationship. Technology has been and will continue to be the key driver of growth in China. It is at the heart of intellectual property, market access, and level playing field debates.” Chief Economist Shaun Roche said the two countries are on a path toward technological decoupling, no matter how the purchases shake out that are promised in the phase one deal.